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With less than 60 days before the first votes are counted in Iowa, South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg is leading in at least two of the four early-voting states: Iowa and New Hampshire.
But with polling all over the place from week to week, political strategists are beginning to question if the first four primary contests could leave us with four different winners.
From USA Today:
It would mean perhaps the most wide-open Democratic primary in a generation heading into Super Tuesday on March 3.
“I think there’s a strong chance – not an insignificant chance – of that happening,” John Della Volpe, director of polling at the Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics, said of four candidates splitting the vote in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina.
The quartet of former Vice President Joe Biden; South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg; and Sens. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren has led the pack for months, with each having topped polls in one or more of the early states. At times, each of them has led a poll in at least one of the early states, while Biden has led most national polls.
Sanders and Warren appeal to the progressive wing of the Democratic Party, while Biden and Buttigieg have staked out a more center-left ideology. Each is well-financed for the long haul.
“That is reflective, honestly, of where essentially every cohort of the (Democratic) electorate is,” Della Volpe said. “There’s a consensus on what the goals are. There’s a consensus on the challenges that America’s facing. But there’s not yet a consensus, whether it’s with older voters or younger voters, of what the right pathway is to achieve those goals and challenges.”
The Chicks on the Right offer analysis in the clip below.
